Sunday, February 21, 2010

CHMC is part of the problem not the solution

I'm back and I am not happy....about losing to the US in hockey and about the CHMC.

I cant do much about the hockey, except complain that they should have had Luongo in the net.

However we are having more success with the CHMC. The mainstream media is finally waking up to what we have been saying in the blogosphere for years. The CHMC is distorting the housing (and lending) market and is a huge added liability the tax-payer does not need.

Here's a good summary which many of you may have already read:

http://housing-analysis.blogspot.com/2010/02/cmhc-canadas-moral-hazard-corporation.html

$480 Billion in insured mortgages is an astronomical amount for a small country like ours! What is the Government thinking?? Are our politicians that numerically challenged?

We better hope that housing doesn't collapse or we will all be in deep....

$480 Billion would be $4.8 Trillion for a country the size of the US. It is almost as much as our national debt: http://www.debtclock.ca/

Now of course it isn't all at risk, but once again I say (for the hundredth time)...TO CONTINUE INSURING LOW DOWN-PAYMENT/HIGH LEVERAGE Mortgages WHEN

1) Housing is at all time highs in many parts of the country

2) Interest rates are at all time lows

IS JUST PLAIN STUPID. If there are any fiscally prudent politicians out there please stop this time-bomb.

Think about it...if you were going to buy a used car with next-to-nothing down and poor credit history, you go to one of many 'bad credit, no credit, no problem' lenders and they arrange a high-interest loan and you get the keys.

BUT THE TAX-PAYER DOESN'T INSURE IT!

There is a fear of changing anything in Canada, even when we have seen it fail south of the border.

Remember Canwest begging for a bail-out or newspapers and TV stations would all close down. The Conservatives were, in my opinion, very close to giving them some of your money.

But there was a grass roots revolt and they backed off, and now some channels have been bought by employees, others have been bought by Shaw and the newspapers will stand or fall depending on their locals markets.

The world did not end.

A moratorium on the CHMC will not end the property market.

There is no right to own a home. It is not a bad idea, if you want to and if you can afford it and if you assume the risk.

If you cant afford it, and we assume the risk. DONT OWN.

I dont own and I don't feel deprived. Lets spend those billions on better education and free food for poor kids which is something that is a right, in a reasonable society.

I am now going to put my head in the freezer for a few minutes to cool down.



230 comments:

  1. The only problem is that they are at the point of no return. If they change the insurance now it will hurt the market and put that $480 billion into jeopardy.

    Their only hope is to see thing flatline for several years until incomes catch up to prices. The problem witht that is that flat prices would kill the speculation market with would probably drive prices down.

    Basically I dont see a good way out of this. Stop insuring now, kill the market. Keep insuring now, prolong the madness for another day until it falls apart on its own.

    Since most politicians are more worried about getting re-elected than about the actual state of the country, I am guessing they will choose the second option.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I agree with davers. Self delusion is a powerful thing.

    The BOC and government have deluded themsleves into thinking a strong housing market is the basis for a strong economy, even though the US just saw the complete failure of that policy.

    They will try and porlong the party for as long as they can.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Great post: it's good that the disaster called CMHC is made public!

    ReplyDelete
  4. I would have thought that a strong housing market is the result of, not the reason for, a strong and sustainable economy.

    Propping up the housing market then claiming the economy is booming again is backwards.

    ReplyDelete
  5. In the US they waited for the housing bust and then transferred the liability to tax-payer with the Fed buying up Mortgage backed securities and under-writing Freddie and Fannie's huge losses.

    In Canada we just cut to the chase. CHMC makes sure the liability is on our shoulders from day one.

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