Saturday, December 29, 2012

What do you think...?

Below are two graphs that look like they may have something in common. The first is from Whisperer's blog. We have posted it a few times here, and it shows how a mania unfolds in a graph.

 I admit I have had trouble identifying where we were on the slope, but things may be a bit clearer now.

 The second is the SFH average price for Vancouver. You judge.







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9 comments:

  1. FrankDecember 29, 2012 at 6:46 PM

    Sure looks like you can lay them on top if each other. Of course life is never that straight forward

    ReplyDelete
  2. rp1December 30, 2012 at 3:58 AM

    5 waves up are: 1998-2000 (wave 1), 2000-2001 (wave 2, correction), 2001-2007, 2007-2009, 2009-2011.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elliott_wave_principle#Elliott_Wave_personality_and_characteristics

    And we got a double top. The only question is how long and far this will go.

    ReplyDelete
  3. WhispererDecember 30, 2012 at 1:15 PM

    Comparing to the bubble graph, it seems like the 'take off' phase occurs around 1988.

    What do you think? Will history peg the start of our bubble as 1988?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Fish10December 30, 2012 at 6:25 PM

      This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

      Delete
  4. Fish10December 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

    I guess you can count it many ways
    But 1988 would make sense
    If we break Down another 4-5% this goose is getting cooked imvho

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousDecember 30, 2012 at 9:21 PM

    The MSM is finally coming to the understanding of what a liability monster we have in the CMHC :


    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/housing/ottawas-800-billion-housing-problem/article6732755/?page=all

    ReplyDelete
  6. rp1December 31, 2012 at 4:21 AM

    I'll just leave this here:

    http://www.etymonline.com/index.php?search=tory

    BTW, the Whigs aren't much better. My etymology book says it's Scottish for "horse thief".

    Leave it to the British to name their two major parties so appropriately. It's a pity we've rebranded them.

    ReplyDelete
  7. AnonymousDecember 31, 2012 at 8:02 AM

    One day away from 2013... Year of the "Fear".

    ReplyDelete
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