Thursday, October 10, 2013

A graph to digest...

Not able to put up a proper post, just more food for thought. THIS is why so many of us are bearish (and yet we have been confounded by the tardiness of the correction)...


Source : BCA Research
Posted by at

25 comments:

  1. eggheadOctober 10, 2013 at 12:35 PM

    Put some teeth in that space and it looks like the jaws of a great white shark!

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  2. jesseOctober 10, 2013 at 7:12 PM

    I saw this on twitter and initially thought, meh I've seen this tons of times before. But then I saw who was retweeting it and I sat up straight. This is a BFD.

    I know maybe Canada might be different and oil will save us blah blah blah but when some of the heavyweight macro analysts start validating why these graphs are a problem that should give some solace to the "bear" argument. Some mighty competent and sober people are telling Canada it's drunk.

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousOctober 11, 2013 at 9:38 AM

    the methodology used in calculating the canadian DTIR is different, if the same parameters were used Canada would be now where the US was in 2005 - not good but still some more to go - this chart has been around for some time but is not accurate

    ReplyDelete
  4. jesseOctober 16, 2013 at 12:01 AM

    The chart is accurate, the interpretation is perhaps not. If the corrected DTI is dateline USA 2005, I'm having trouble seeing much positive.

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousOctober 16, 2013 at 5:08 PM

    Look at the link below with the adjustment, that chart is not accurate, that is not to say that Canada is in a healthy path but it has still some time to go...
    http://www.td.com/document/PDF/economics/special/CanadianHouseholdDebt.pdf

    ReplyDelete
  6. Real estate services in TorontoFebruary 9, 2014 at 9:54 PM

    Methodology for calculating household debt for Canada and US is entirely different. I doubt if this comparison is correct.

    ReplyDelete
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