Sunday, March 18, 2012

Checking in from my holiday

I see increasing calls for Christy Clark to ´do something´about our housing bubble.

Cristy is in a tough spot....If she tries to put the breaks on Re she will dealing with a huge bubble and help middle class families who are priced right out.

However she will also upset current owners, the housing lobby (developers and Realtors) and also take away a major economic driver ( short-lived and speculative yes, but that never stopped a politician)

In fact there is very little she can do. She has no control over the CMHC or the Bank of Canada rate or lax bank lending and if she speaks against Chinese off-shore ownership she risks alienating China and risking their investment in other areas, and I can assure you- that would lead to a major recession in BC. Tough bind.

The TD bank is the latest bank begging to be regulated more.

http://www.canadabubble.com/bubble-watch/2339-tighter-regulations-needed-against-overheating-real-estate-household-debt-td.html

This is turning out to be a weak spring for sales. Sales haven´t blossomed and are on track to be amongst the lowest in the last decade.

HOWEVER listings haven´t exploded either which removes the housing crash scenario. This is perfect. As I have said if we had a quick correction the Federal Government would lose it´s resolve and their would be no changes.

Excuse any errors or mistakes ( and I cannot make the font bigger). I am paying $$ for the internet connection.
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4 comments:

  1. AnonymousMarch 18, 2012 at 2:10 PM

    Front page yahoo

    http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canada-s-real-estate-bubble--spot-the-signs-and-prep-for-the-pop.html

    “This basically means you don’t have enough data to make definitive assessments, and this is one reason why you have debates,” Alexander says. “What I’m really saying there is overvaluation.

    “The data that we have does not support the argument that there’s a big national bubble, but you could actually argue there are bubblelike qualities in certain markets. And Vancouver is definitely the market that is setting off most warning signals.”.

    ReplyDelete
  2. AnonymousMarch 19, 2012 at 3:04 PM

    "a weak spring for sales"
    Marine Gateway sold-out in the first 4 hours.
    Ads tauting iPod3 on craiglists a week and days before the official sale last Friday.

    ReplyDelete
  3. eggheadMarch 21, 2012 at 12:22 PM

    Thanks for posting, Fish.

    ReplyDelete
  4. fishonhookMarch 22, 2012 at 2:10 AM

    Hsbc getting out of consumer finance ( read sub-prime)

    More and more banks are warning or butressing themselves against an over-stretched consumer

    www.vancouversun.com/business/HSBC+shuts+consumer+finance+business/6338516/story.html

    ReplyDelete

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